NovaStar gets Trounced… Investors left bewildered
Chuck Ponzi February 21st, 2007
One of the big stories of the day was the trouncing Novastar subprime lender received today. As of the current moment, the stock is down more than 39% so far today.
Since the housing bubble is the manifestation of the credit bubble, we’re likely to see a lot more of these. However, if you’re waiting for this to trickle through to the housing market, it won’t immediately. Sellers still haven’t figured out that without subprime, very few can afford their homes. When Option ARMS start getting pulled, that’s when we’ll see the bloodbath.
Until then, you’ll have to make do with the current stock skewering we are seeing now.
Bloomberg reported:
NovaStar’s “earnings were indicative of the challenging nonprime environment and proved that no company will likely go unscathed,” Scott Valentin, an analyst at Friedman, Billings, Ramsey & Co., wrote in a research report today.
Indeed.
On the Yahoo stock message board, the following message was posted describing the sentiment:
These mortgages are on the street.
It is a huge disaster and rate cuts only help those wjho will refi, not those stuck in option arm trash.
Thank alan Greenspan as you are evicted form(sic) your home.
First he crashes the stock market, now housing.
it will be a bleak 2007 and 2008 for millions of families.
Unfortunately, it was all preventable. Thanks for the loose lending practices. One thing is for certain; the rich will get richer, and the poor will get poorer. Thanks, Sir Alan. Thanks, indeed.

Another great short sale I missed. I think it’s time to go buy puts on every sub-prime lender and see what happens.
Let’s start a ’short’ investment club!
I actually had the same thought, but more around starting an investment group of vultures for buying foreclosures.
Of course, due to the sheer amounts needed to buy real estate with cash, it would require quite a bit of cash.
Anybody here game? It won’t start in earnest for about 2 years (due to the catching the falling knife), but I’d love to start assembling a team of investors.
Chuck
Down to 9.48 today, an additional drop of 6%. The subprime market is taking it straight in the jaw; the mystery question was who would be taking the pain when housing started reverting to the mean. Looking at Novastar and NEW we see that these people are being thrown under the bus.
http://drhousingbubble.blogspot.com