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There is no Housing Bubble Update

Chuck Ponzi February 23rd, 2007

Housing BubbleFor all of our readers that were amused by the lovable little scamp, the thereisnoshousingbubble blog is back up!

Old articles are there, but comments are not enabled.

You might remember some of the better articles such as:

 Illegal Immigrants are the Granite Countertops of Immigrants

also:

The Outsourced Entry to Rajeev 

and others.  We welcome the return of an old friend after being abducted by webspammers.

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7 Comments »

Comment by LAEF2
2007-02-26 08:00:45

Chuck,

Just looking over at BMIT at some of the HELOC to forclosure tracks.

If you held one of these properties and wanted to protect your paper gains; the best course of action would be to HELOC the thing to the max with an ARM with a teaser rate (get a low pre-payment penalty) and run the debt through the roof. You take the money and put it in to investments.

If the values really crash you send in the keys.

Is this legal to game the system this way?

Just wondering how many people planned for this kind of thing.

Basically if values crash hard enough you can buy back in with cash where ever you chose.

Comment by Chuck Ponzi
2007-02-26 08:44:17

That’s following the “If I’m going to go down, it might as well be in a blaze of glory” theories. There are some financial advisors who actually reocmmend this.

http://www.socalbubble.com/200.....house.html

While I would do it myself, I would never recommend anyone else to do it. There are too many legal complications to advising someone to time the market. Why do you think noone tells anyone else to time it? Because for every one person that can time it correctly, there are 99 who cannot.

There’s a joke I learned from an old Wall street buddy of mine:

What do you call someone who bought at the exact bottom and sold at the exact top?

Answer:

LIAR

 
 
Comment by LAEF2
2007-02-26 10:37:13

I guess the advanatage of what I was proposing was if values go up you pay off the loans or sell the house and pay off the loans. You win.

If the value crashes then the bank takes the loss when you walk away. I was just wondering about the leagal ramifications.

I guess you would get hit with the 1099 gains for forgiveness of debt… Still might be better than a 50% hair cut.

 
Comment by LAEF2
2007-02-26 10:57:35

I just had this other weird though about runs on banks.

We have this ATM system out there. What happens as lender start to collapse?

I think you run from your wells fargo ATM to the bank of America ATM and grab some emergency cash. BOA doesn’t realize that WF is in the flusher so they give you your money.

Just thinking how the run on banks can spread through the ATM/debit system.

Wow. Could be nifty systemic fault.

Mmmmm…..

 
Comment by IrvineRenter
2007-02-26 16:35:01

That chick is pretty. She blows good bubbles.

 
Comment by sunsetbeachguy
2007-02-26 17:07:15

There is no housing bubble blog is the best humor re: the housing bubble there is.

Everyone should go re-read it.

I didn’t get any responses with posting the link at OCR’s blog. Oh well.

I think j6p is having bubble fatigue.

 
Comment by rchrdvince
2007-02-28 08:21:42

I think this is a funny video about the housing bubble (nice song too, though in french…)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CABGPFV8OwE

 
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