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Archive for October, 2008

Meetup with Irvine Renter

Chuck Ponzi October 29th, 2008

Today for lunch, I met up with Irvine Renter of the Irvine Housing Blog fame to talk about his book over lunch.  Was very enlightening and IR has a wealth of information about the workings of real estate in Southern California and the mania behind the housing bubble.  I’ll be posting a review of it as soon as I finish reading it (200+ pages), but in the meantime, if you’d like to get your hands on a copy of the book, pick it up at Amazon here.

The Great Housing Bubble

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Southern California Homeowners Insurance Issues

Guest_Blogger October 27th, 2008

Southern California Homeowners Insurance Issues

Your home purchase is one of the largest investments you are likely to make, so there’s no doubt that having adequate homeowners insurance is important. As a homeowner in southern California, however, you have some unique hazards that the rest of the country never has to deal with, like wildfires, mudslides, and earthquakes. For this reason, it’s important to know how to save money on homeowners insurance as well as when it’s appropriate to spend money on extra coverage.

The Basics
Most standard homeowners insurance policies, which are also referred to as property insurance or hazard insurance policies, provide coverage for damage to your home, the items within it, and other structures on your property, if it is caused by:

  • Theft
  • Fire and lightning
  • Smoke
  • Vandalism
  • Ice and snow (rarely needed in SoCal)
  • Wind
  • Broken pipes/water leaks.

In addition, standard policies include coverage for liability claims and medical payments to third parties who may be injured on your property, as well as legal fees if you are sued. $100,000 is a common amount of such coverage, but depending on your circumstances (if you have an extremely expensive home, own a business, or work in a high profile career) you may need much more.
Beyond the Basics
Basic comprehensive coverage is designed to protect you from average hazards, but living in southern California is anything but average. For this reason, when you shop for homeowners insurance you’ll need to budget separately for earthquake insurance, and, if you live in the mountains, you’ll probably want to consider flood insurance, and increasing your fire insurance. Depending on the age and location of your home, you might also want to consider special insurance for mold.

  • Earthquake insurance is always extra, never part of a standard policy, but it isn’t that expensive .
  • Flood insurance is sold through a national program. Lenders require it if you live in low-lying areas where flooding is likely, and is optional without it, but without flood insurance you may not have coverage for damage because of mudslides.
  • Wildfires have been a significant cause of damage claims throughout California, and many insurers are increasing premium rates in high-risk areas, or offering special policy endorsements to cover wildfire-specific damage.
  • Mold testing has become an increasingly common part of California real estate transactions, and evidence of certain kinds of mold spores has caused deals to fall apart. If your insurance policy already covers water leaks, and those leaks lead to mold issues, you should be covered for mold-related damages, but you may need a specific endorsement.

Most insurers exclude acts of war, nuclear accidents and (now) acts of terrorism, so damages from those things are never covered, even via special policies.
Shopping and Saving
Now that you know what policies should include, and what extra endorsements or separate policies you may need, you need to know how to shop for the best deal. Here are some tips:

  • While mortgage lenders typically require that your insurance coverage be equal to the appraised value or purchase price of your home, the number everyone should be looking at is the replacement cost of the house – the cost to rebuild it if there is a total loss. This is what you should base your coverage upon. Remember, that if the replacement cost is less than the purchase price, your lender cannot require insurance coverage that exceeds it.
  • Most homeowners insurance policies include coverage limits for items that are high-value or difficult to replace. If you own art, antiques, or expensive jewelry, you may need to have each item appraised, and have special endorsements added.
  • Does your home have a security system? If so, you may qualify for a discount when you shop for insurance, though such discounts usually require that the system be monitored.
  • Got cash? If cash flow isn’t a problem for you, consider a higher deductible – the amount you pay out of pocket when you file a claim – since raising your deductible will net you a lower premium.
  • Bundle up. Moving into a new home may mean new auto insurance as well as a new homeowners insurance policy, considering bundling them with the same insurer. Doing so will give you another discount.
  • Shop around. It may be tempting to go with the first quote you get, but comparing policies and premiums will not only save you money, but it will also allow you to see exactly how different coverage options compare.

Living in southern California means great weather, gorgeous landscapes, and access to amazing cultural opportunities, but it also means you have to pay special attention to your homeowners insurance options. Before you shop for insurance, consider meeting with a financial planner, and don’t buy any policy until you’ve talked to an agent about coverage limits, and ensured that you are insured for enough.

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Where is Chuck Ponzi?

Chuck Ponzi October 23rd, 2008

Chuck has been busy.  With so many things happening in the local real estate blogging community, Southern California Real Estate, National and International Financial Markets, and at home, it has been hard to formulate posts for the past 2 weeks.  However, some more are to come over the next few days.

On tap, I am going to begin reading Irvine_Renter’s new book next week.  I’ll give you all my thoughts about it and tease you with any insights that you may not have yet seen.  This financial crisis, and the US Housing bubble has been THE financial story of the 21st century.  I doubt you’ll feel like you have thus far missed much, but there is a lot to say about it and its roots I’m sure we’ll find something interesting.

As you know, I have a co-blogger, Brad Davidson of Help-U-Buy Realty here in Orange County.  I have also been approached by several other contributors who have their own specific flavor of real-estate knowledge.  With the unwinding of the housing bubble (and frankly, who can take 24by7 coverage of the carnage that is the crash of housing prices?), there are many other factors of the housing bubble consider; proper financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, and the list goes on.  I’ll be adding several stories from guest bloggers from various sites for their contribution to relevant topics on Southern California Real Estate.

As far as investing, I’ll be honest, the past few months have been catastrophic for any stock (even though much of my powder is in cash, almost nothing has been spared The Great Unwind of Leverage) and I’ve been picking up some of the broken stocks here and there.  While I am not an investment advisor (and I see no reason to take my advice), if you’d like to hear it, I might be willing to give some of mine.  There are some stocks that I have been following for some time that are at what I consider “once-in-a-lifetime” opportunities and have the potential to do really well, while there are some suckers that I have found that I think even they can’t be resurrected.

Feel free to leave comments about whatever you feel like here.

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The crash is in – Chuck is Out

Chuck Ponzi October 9th, 2008

Sorry that I have been out of pocket for the past week.  Chuck has been in Mexico this week getting some much needed vacation time.

Meanwhile, the world financial system is in meltdown.  The worldwide housing bubble and deflation is finally being priced into the stock market.  It is complete and utter housing panic.  There is no safe haven at this time.

Personally, I cannot believe some of the deals out there in the stock market!  Armageddon is priced in.  Many stocks yielding more than 5%.  If yields stay at this level, sheer and utter panic is the only reason.  I’ll be getting some sun and water for all of you there.  Good luck to everyone.

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Median Price Heading South of $400,000

Brad_Davidson October 6th, 2008

The median price continues to fall and if the trend holds it should be under $400,000 by year’s end.  That will be close to a 40% decline.  I believe even Chuck Ponzi is surprised.

From the figures in the MLS the Median price of all homes sold last month (September) comes in at $429,000.  That’s down another $11,000 from August.

As of October 4, 2008, there were 4,232 pending sales in Orange County with a median asking price of $399,500.  My tracking of pending sales has been an accurate predictor of future prices thus far and it will be interesting to see if the trend holds true.

I have a lot of contacts in the REO business and I’m being told that the number of BPO (broker price opinion) orders are high.  Lenders order BPO’s when a property enters foreclosure to get an idea of what the property is worth for when it’s an REO or for a short sale negotiation. These contacts feel that the next wave of foreclosures could be big.  Not surprising considering everyone who bought for about a two to three year period is underwater.

Even the house next door to mine is empty and the lawn is brown.  It would have sold for more than $800,000 two years ago.  I’m told no neighborhood will be immune in the next wave.

Brad Davidson

We Help-U-Buy Realty

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