Flippers Attack!

With the myriad of federal government interventions, speculators have once again infested the housing market with quick flips.

Flip 1:

31991 Via Gallo Coto De Caza

s565544_0

Last purchased:  Jan 5 2009.

Last purchased for: $380,000

Flippers Gross Markuptm: $269,000

Days from purchase to market: 56

Flip 2:

28472 Charreadas Laguna Niguel

s566156_0

Last purchased: January 23rd 2009

Last purchased for: $495,000

Gross Flippers Markuptm: $154,000

Days from Purchase to Market: 41

This is just 2 of many currently on the market.  It’ll be interesting to see just how much demand there is for houses with several hundred thousands tacked on where buyers would have paid before.  More interesting to me is how long these will take to sell.  While both are in superficially desirable areas, both have fundamentally flawed locational problems.  (Charreadas is the most obvious, just look at where the 73 is in relationship)  I did a drive by of when it was on the market just to see just how much noise there was.  It was quite loud at rush hour.

Guess the final sales date and sales prices!

 

BMIT put up an interesting post the other day that I think needs to be read and reconsidered.  Basically, there are still people flipping properties; it is unlikely that after the biggest bubble in the history of the world, that the crisis is over and properties can once again be resold for several hundred thousand dollars more by simply trimming some bushes, putting down sod and painting the picket fence.  There are still too many people chasing limited opportunities and therefore overpaying for something that makes little economic sense.  In a recession, economic sense should prevail.

Therefore, I ask the most difficult question regarding the property that OCR dragged up in San Diego:

sdshack

San Diego Shack

In this corner, we have the lightweight contender.  Weighing in at just 570 square feet, and surrounded by squalor, you can bask in the beauty of your red front door that leaves nothing to the imagination and your K-mart clearance special patio set.  Luckily for you, you can now dry your clothes directly outside your front door with the convenient ledger board that is stapled to the outside of your quaint demi-cottage.  Only you and your neighbor will know when you pass gas in this  beautiful little near-beach house.  IT HAS PRACTIALLY EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO SURVIVE.

Similarly, I’ll compare it to this:

Laguna Niguel Shack

Laguna Niguel Shack

This quaint beach cottage has a measly 10,000 square feet, but who can be sure?  It features subterranean parking, wine cellars, an opulent entry, is centrally located in Laguna Niguel near Monarch Beach and boasts a true 180 degree view of the ocean.  Luckily, you won’t need to hang your clothes out to dry, you actually have a laundry room and servants quarters to ensure your underwear is neatly pressed day or night.

However, there’s something this house lacks that the San Diego house has.  It’s a critical component in today’s current economy.

No, it’s not irrational exuberance… but you’re getting close.

Figured it out yet?

OK

Here

it

is.

The shack in San Diego boasts a higher price tag per square foot, exceeding $1000/ square foot while the opulent mansion with views to the ends of the earth weighs in at a measly $975/ sqft.

Now that’s amore.

 

Are People Really That Dense?

Last stick-at-the-top discussion was about the ongoing pressure of lending on homebuying… whether there really are any changes taking place.

For this discussion, are there people still flipping houses? Do you see them? Have they listed and relisted several times? Is anyone selling, and who is buying them?

Do you see anyone, or know anyone who is thinking of flipping houses?

I have a work colleague who is anxiously awaiting his a family member’s death so he can take their inheritance and begin “flipping properties in earnest”. Is that sick or what?

What evidence do you see?

 

CondoFlip.com officially CondoFlopped?

Last year, I surmised that we’d just about heard the end of Condoflip.com with my post of Condoflip + 6 months = Condoflop.

Then, after a little over a month, the Panic Buttons appeared and I thought I might have to eat my words in my Panic Attack! post.

In markets, timing is much more difficult than direction and this was no exception.

In the original announcement of Zilbert Realty’s Condoflip.com in June 21, 2005, Mark Zilbert stated:
Condo Flip(TM) could become the most significant advancement in real estate technology since the Multiple Listing Service (MLS) concept was introduced for residential resales.
Fancy that.

What we find most interesting interesting is the prophetic vision of the original article’s statements:

Zilbert developed Condo Flip(TM) to allow flippers to get a head start – sometimes by a few years – on the resale of their condos, rather than wait until the “last minute” where panicked selling is more likely.

and

To avoid “selling panic” that sometimes occurs when a flipper cannot sell their condo, Condo Flip(TM) will allow a flipper to offer dramatic price reductions, but in a controlled and deliberate manner. Would-be buyers are able to receive notifications when dramatic price reductions occur in Condo Flip(TM), and this should allow reduced-priced condos to sell quickly.
“By managing and distributing price drops, we should be able to minimize condo inventory being dumped on the market, which can have a significant impact on overall market values,” Zilbert said.

It was 10 months later that the “Panic Buttons” appeared on the site.

Until recently, it actually appeared to be able to connect buyers and sellers.

Today, all but one link is a dead-end. The live link leads back to the Zilbert Realty homepage. It would seem the site has Condoflopped.

In likewise uncanny foresight, my original post on the matter stated:

I am certain that they have since realized that disintermediation of their own business would mean that they would no longer be getting fat commission checks on fewer transactions, but thinner commission checks on far more transactions. Doesn’t work if there aren’t any transactions coming through.

So it is.

Sometimes superior ideas take a while to catch on.

Sometimes crummy ideas just fall flat on their faces.