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Are People Really That Dense?

Chuck Ponzi February 20th, 2007

Last stick-at-the-top discussion was about the ongoing pressure of lending on homebuying… whether there really are any changes taking place.

For this discussion, are there people still flipping houses? Do you see them? Have they listed and relisted several times? Is anyone selling, and who is buying them?

Do you see anyone, or know anyone who is thinking of flipping houses?

I have a work colleague who is anxiously awaiting his a family member’s death so he can take their inheritance and begin “flipping properties in earnest”. Is that sick or what?

What evidence do you see?

CondoFlip.com officially CondoFlopped?

Chuck Ponzi January 30th, 2007

Last year, I surmised that we’d just about heard the end of Condoflip.com with my post of Condoflip + 6 months = Condoflop.

Then, after a little over a month, the Panic Buttons appeared and I thought I might have to eat my words in my Panic Attack! post.

In markets, timing is much more difficult than direction and this was no exception.

In the original announcement of Zilbert Realty’s Condoflip.com in June 21, 2005, Mark Zilbert stated:
Condo Flip(TM) could become the most significant advancement in real estate technology since the Multiple Listing Service (MLS) concept was introduced for residential resales.
Fancy that.

What we find most interesting interesting is the prophetic vision of the original article’s statements:

Zilbert developed Condo Flip(TM) to allow flippers to get a head start - sometimes by a few years - on the resale of their condos, rather than wait until the “last minute” where panicked selling is more likely.

and

To avoid “selling panic” that sometimes occurs when a flipper cannot sell their condo, Condo Flip(TM) will allow a flipper to offer dramatic price reductions, but in a controlled and deliberate manner. Would-be buyers are able to receive notifications when dramatic price reductions occur in Condo Flip(TM), and this should allow reduced-priced condos to sell quickly.
“By managing and distributing price drops, we should be able to minimize condo inventory being dumped on the market, which can have a significant impact on overall market values,” Zilbert said.

It was 10 months later that the “Panic Buttons” appeared on the site.

Until recently, it actually appeared to be able to connect buyers and sellers.

Today, all but one link is a dead-end. The live link leads back to the Zilbert Realty homepage. It would seem the site has Condoflopped.

In likewise uncanny foresight, my original post on the matter stated:

I am certain that they have since realized that disintermediation of their own business would mean that they would no longer be getting fat commission checks on fewer transactions, but thinner commission checks on far more transactions. Doesn’t work if there aren’t any transactions coming through.

So it is.

Sometimes superior ideas take a while to catch on.

Sometimes crummy ideas just fall flat on their faces.